We are halfway to the beginning of the
Chase for the Sprint Cup Championship and I think it’s safe to say there are no
favorites. Even though Roush Racing teammates Matt Kenseth and Greg Bifle are
1-2 in the standings, they have only combined to win two races. Denny Hamlin
sits in fourth place and has won twice but he has been so inconsistent the
entire season that it’s hard to imagine him putting together 10 great races in
the Chase. Hendrick Motorsports drivers Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Jimmie take the
third and fifth place spots. Those are two drivers that I would be worried
about if I was a Roush driver. The other two at Hendrick, Kasey Kahne and Jeff
Gordon, are also two that can get into the Chase. Both got off to rough starts
but Kahne won the Coke 600 a couple of weeks ago and Gordon has been so close
to winning but something out of his control always ruins it.
Points
standings after Dover:
1) Greg Bifle
2) Matt Kenseth
3) Dale Earnhardt Jr.*
4) Denny Hamlin
5) Jimmie Johnson*
6) Martin Truex Jr.
7) Kevin Harvick*
8) Tony Stewart*
9) Kyle Busch
10) Clint Bowyer
11) Brad Keselowski*
12) Carl Edwards*
13) Ryan Newman
14) Kasey Kahne*
15) Paul Menard
16) Joey Logano
17) Aric Almirola
18) Jeff Burton
19) Marcos Ambrose*
20) Juan Pablo Montoya
21) Jeff Gordon
22) Jamie McMurray
23) AJ Allmendinger*
24) Mark Martin
25) Regan Smith*
*-Drivers I picked before the season as
“Drivers to Watch”
Next
6 races:
6/10- Pocono
6/17- Michigan
6/24- Sonoma
6/30- Kentucky
7/7- Daytona
7/15- Loudon
The first segment of the summer season for NASCAR is probably one of the more boring stretches in the season. This year could be completely different though. Pocono and Michigan have both been resurfaced since last year’s races. Testing done earlier in the season at the two tracks saw much higher speeds than ever before. Plus, the Pocono race has been shortened by 40 laps. Kentucky’s inaugural race was a snoozer and the biggest story that came from that weekend was the parking debacle that led to thousands of fans being stranded miles from the track. Hopefully teams learned enough from last year’s race that they’ll be able to set their cars up to make it easier to pass. Sonoma, Daytona, and Loudon are always exciting.
With just 13 races left before the Chase,
the time has come for drivers from about 15th on back to start going
for wins instead of just racing for points. Remember, after the last race
before the Chase, drivers from 1st-10th are in the Chase.
The final two spots are given to the drivers in 11th-20th
that have the most wins. If the Chase started right now, those two would be
Brad K. and Ryan Newman. Brad has two victories and Newman has one. Kahne also
has won win but he is behind Newman in the points standings.
Nobody else from 10th back has any wins. If anybody is going to
change that and make a charge to get into the Chase, it’s going to be Jeff
Gordon. The four-time champ has been so close to winning several times this
season, only to have something out of his control end up ruining his race.
Gordon had a big lead late in the race at Martinsville, but a caution came out
and led to a green-white-checkered finish. On that restart, Clint Bowyer dove
underneath Gordon and slammed him into the wall. At Dover, Gordon had one of
the strongest cars and was leading when one of his tires became loose because
his tire changer didn’t’ get all the lug nuts tightened. Gordon is just about
the only driver in the garage that has the talent and experience to overcome
these misfortunes and still make the Chase.
I would also keep an eye on Marcos Ambrose. The Australian made a living in his
native country dominating on road courses and won at Watkins Glen in 2011. He
could easily win both road course races before the Chase and clinch a spot for
the postseason. I’m also anxious to see if my driver, AJ Allmendinger, can
string together great finishes like his teammate Brad Keselowski did last
summer. At the same time last year, Brad was in 21st and just won a
fuel-mileage race at Kansas. He then went on to win twice more and finished 5th
in the final points standings. The Dinger has the talent to do it, but does he
have the crew chief? That’s what concerns me. Finally, Carl Edwards tied for
the Sprint Cup Championship last year but has not even come close to even
winning a race this year. He has the talent and the team, much like Jeff
Gordon, to rally and win some races.